About the talk
We will explore whether AI will replace software developers by 2040 and how to stay relevant.
#AzConfDev #AzureAI #AI #Azure
GitHub : https://github.com/azconfdev
Website : https://www.azconf.dev/
I am a white space leader living in Chennai. A Software entrepreneur with 20+ years’ experience starting, growing and selling a company that operated in India, USA and UK. I am a Microsoft Regional Director (Honorary) from 1999 and IEEE Senior Member. Advisor, APJ Abdul Kalam International Foundation - House of Kalam, Rameswaram. I see beyond the hype cycles and is passionate about building solutions that respect users. I predicted in 2003, that Mobile Phones will be the first and only computer for the developing world. By 2025, I foresee smartphones will cease to exist and that’s why I created Simpligic – a U.S.patent pending (62/343,406) news app.View the profile
One of the things that is in top of everybody's mind. Now, next to the pandemic is whether artificial intelligence and they are able to take over my job by the cover using current surface. And then what's likely to happen with me? Look up in a spacecraft was going to a place where no man has gone before or no man has landed before. I need a computer that has a complex system as you can imagine and everything is running smooth, but suddenly the switch was in the wrong position.
Under the computer was doing it to normal job that are needed to land safely. Then what the computer is likely to handle it. Any point in time for the computer was, obviously, if this was a good luck and then kill everybody internally, luckily, the design of Engineers of the system at design defensive, but I have the computer was able to diagnose itself. Equally, and once the diagnostic program Keaton in immediately, sense. That is 15% more. That's happening. And then, it started out sending an alarm
with the astronaut. I got a something on their back to forget about it. And what computer did because the diagnostic was able to figure out that it was getting over, it was starting to shut down all the low priority task. It was only doing what is asian, life critical systems life-support systems and other countries that are properly. Beautiful has not happened 40 years back. This old problem is if you saw what happened to the Apollo, 11 moon landing and they're not even close to what we have. But
they let people in the future software's would be very very intelligent. What qualifies me to give this. So you might be wondering why you should I be listening to? Somebody was going to tell me about what will happen in the next 20 years. We don't know what will happen in the next year, because I've got five legal amount of experience in the software industry around by one company for about 24 years. I sorted to another large branches in three countries. And I want to watch card as a Mike's of regional director. Andre titled. I've been holding from 1999-2000 meaning of the Microsoft
Technology and strategy Ki Vines food, industry cycles, and the three business Cycles have learned a lot so that I can help you not to make the same mistakes traffic sites. I've created a news app called Simply Chic fire fires back at the end of this app was not to have any user controls, make it everything that kind of predicted for this system will just give you one story to read. Might even be able to predict what story would likely to read. End. Up.
You go like this. Look at the current landscape out. Things are happening. Will also see the impact of this system of artificial intelligence today in software developer has always the best way to get done. What we did is a good way to learn and what we did before and then you can be future predictions for 2040. Software industry, like you all, you know, it's pretty exciting. It's been growing consistently in the last two years alone where I'd like, 23 24 million software developers working and just nobody's going to study
for 2020 for the screen to be about 28 million. And this number is going to keep on growing and the forming of the status ticks. And many of the point that I'm going to be talkin. I've got a princess at the bottom of the slide. So if you want to read more about this, you can go into it. And I know these are my speculations. Turn on Mini jobless today. If you look at me of this slide slide glass doors, and other. The tops job lures that are being advertised for 2020 are some of this for example VR VR virtual reality Engineers are
at Job. Lot has been growing thousand four hundred times last 12 months. His computer doesn't use email to look at a image of a photograph, or a stream of images, coming in and studying and making inference, computer engineer job girls are growing by 40% and that is machine learning engineer or a scientist data engineer data. Label blockchain. Jr. Website. Somebody wearing shorts. That particular property. Keep on running to the blockchain engineer and E. Call back, but they are not so hot even though
they're doing computer stuff for a minute and think that's our Dynamic software engineering and software developer roller ball. Seen pretty much most of your job role. I'm sure those of you who are building industry for like 5 years. I think as you would have seen your job lot in the last few years more faster than what you have before. You became a trainee, then you became an engineer, a leading to The, A Team lead. And so on and so forth, but then I've changed drastically.
We see some of these jobs right beside the last night. One of their sight video from Microsoft careers website. This is 4 ml in GR in Ida by, this was opening that was posted a couple of months back. And if you look at it, pretty interesting, what are you talking about? We're talking about an engineer job. Create language models from petabyte of data from standard machine learning methods to exploit modern parlance. And I find them. These are not your boiler plate thing that we are trying to build a system which will do. And we need you to
build a software code for it. You have to learn from these models and then we'll do you want. That's kind of interesting and learning algorithm that requires constant paper meeting. Please, for me. It's not common that you read a job. Profile job, requirement. Talking about people looking at scientific and Engineering papers and learning Academy have to be separated industry to be separated. But with the constant new Innovations happening in the academy, or take it over by the industrial
equipment for Microsoft. This job requires constant paper. Reading this requires you taking initiative to learn the newest reinforcement, learning techniques. Just taking two samples. If you notice, these are talking about continuous learning, so it's not continuous integration, continuous deployment that we are doing now in devops Project, be continuously improving ourselves. It's not likely to see C plus plus, in the next 20 years. We are at CC Plus.
I could be an engineer in a larger banking in banking Service Company in the US and then I can just keep on writing programs and cool. But no you have to continuously that's what they telling us. What are the events now? Let's look at various tools that are available to developers today. That are powered by artificial intelligence and automation to pick up software engineering project, involves being all pretty much three main categories of dust. Got them and sliced, and diced,
mini mini designer. I think it was largely coming across most of what is the problem. They're trying to solve and then try to document Earth are trying to understand that. It's basically kind of a human computer interface equivalent of you understanding from the customer report in point out the problem, and then trying to get it right, so that you can Design Software System. Thanks for the stupid, the architecture. Do the design in the mapping with various platforms tools software, people that wax on and so forth. And
then, the actual coding of typing software core testing and applying it, and all that. And a lot of papers that I've seen and in my own experience, over the last 25 years. And I've talked to engineers and many of these large companies, this makeup. Look, something like this there. Fog between these three loads and they may change, plus, and minus 10%. But broadly, this is be indications that he got from most of them. Is that the First with the business requirement, we don't tend to think about it. The business that takes pretty much about 50% of the
time and effort and money. Spent next one is actually mapping, which is about 30% the architecture design and the last one is actually 20%. According. Andy deployment is actually 20%. Please begin Project. M. + -10 is likely to be seen in many projects. Very intense, ab machine learning model and coding but pretty much on WhatsApp and automation tools are started. Coming. It didn't come in the first and the last one on the coding. Pretty much most of these tools,
but at these tools, make sure you'll see them climbing up the ladder and the event. It was going to be available for the first one will try to cover some of them. The first one with your ID. He like your Visual Studio code. And as you start typing your cord, they start giving you a quote Snippets that you can reuse. It's like intellisense taken to a completely new 11th. In what is the type of problem and studied millions of lines of Code by all the open-source
and the other possibilities that it has access to. And from that it is seeing, this is the line of code that you're like a doo doo now. And many of these calls. It's modified will see some more meaning of them are aiming to reduce up to 50% of the cage, dogs are. But one thing you have to remember, the conversation intelligent animal tool is that B students go on improving on an exponential function? It's not like your last version of Windows to this version of Does magnesium cream interchanges out the
last version of iOS to this version. Let me see the implemented changes as people start using them more and more. They're going to experience really something like be social media to see Power of social media grows exponentially. Microsoft has its own to ensure that they are working on call intellicode. There's also enjoyed a similar thing, but they are trying to currently solve the problem of sorting them presents, think that? That is going to make sense for you. Currently is getting use more priority to. What is the problem that you're tired
and irritated? They get in the US are likely to be more common are more likely to be used right now than the other other parameters that you could be using. If you see Buddhist children aiming at the same problem of reducing the number of Keystone and both are using both of using millions and millions of lines of code that have studied from Keith Urban on a project to learn what are likely to type now. Good morning, Uncle extraneous on the design side. That
is the stool called sketch to court at Mike's on Caleb's of interviews. Couple of years vacuum. You should go to the zoology bottom and try to play a design on a whiteboard. You are designing of a bitch. I do you design a logo that Xbox that is that search button. You just tried to take a photograph and upload to this a power tool to use computer to figure out what is that? You're trying to stall and then it's going to be. Cody H gaming on the right hand side.
What you see is the HTML that is generated. It gives you the HTML and CSS code that you can use. But what I like most is this jewel is able to tell you what is the percentage of accuracy or why did I detect a certain thing to be an image of a certain thing to be a patent? A certain drawing that you've done to me. Straight up to 92% or 92.65%. It says the first one that you are drawn on top of product. One is an image and 89% is the next one. Buttons. Able to figure out, it's about ninety percent accuracy. And why is
it the button button button? That's the one. But the next one thing, if you can just draw on a whiteboard animation point that I made these tools to be may not be something that you are likely to use in your next project with these tools improve on an exponential business. Very likely next few months. Probably the distance from Ada Mike. Saw that somebody so much that you can start using them on a daily basis. Does another one Google? I think our last week a couple of years back announce the new project, you are able to video input page, you just give me and the system
understand the kind of expected videos designs that are already in the dude. And then you don't put a video animator Gibson or videos that you can. Then start typing in the Google platform on YouTube. But if you think of the page and then convert video chat, go to make sense, but this was trying to extract various elements in a bit, and then time to rearrange them in a way that makes sense. They'd believe this watch to play it on, but then the movie deals are quite interesting. You should check them out. The next
trip we have seen how to do to save typing by 50% on Edith. Mark today that same with Microsoft Internet, God or your kind of capital and many other tools city, of course. As if it's a database on a data, asking for a million things Jenkins the popular productivity with that. They were not able to find the performance requirements on videos of the texting thing, but there was still somebody to find out and that was made easier by using good group. And this is one not but that they found out, you
can actually go to jenkinsburg. At the bottom and then you can figure out meaning about seven critical. But stable able to find out in a recent project. This one is saying what we should checks are missing in the hours at Gordon's wedding. Yeah, sure. It would be pretty disastrous. But then we were able to find out using Code QR Another thing doesn't function is pretty interesting company. You give you a URL on your map and its able to figure out that I'd like you to happen across different browsers, a different mobile
platforms in this case. It see what your intended to show was big savings. Add a stop for navigation button. Firefox 58 for some problem. With your tia says, it's actually showing us instant savings and not a big saving. So it could be. In this case, the difference is not big, but then, you know, different kids. But you're saying, instead of Buy sell these buttons, come mixture because of CSS problem that's happening. In one particular browser, version that could be disastrous to get one of these. Blinding fruit that function, I can
actually find out but then this dude can actually figure out a lot more butts by testing them across various systems. Done it before. Another one, new startup call decode, they call themselves as grammarly for quarters, meaning of us. If you're a blogger on using social media, not able to pick it up. Now if they were to talk about whether you're very long you should shut that. Damn. That's a beautiful goddess trying to bring it to software project in the saying. In this case. It does give me some example of elastic. Search party to go to
Agata project and then come back and say, these are the problems that are three critical box in your guitar chords that are 40 warning and it took about 10 seconds to 38. One of the problems, the last, but one thing missing, close on Java. IO. Tyler put screen. Basically, you're doing. You're supposed to leak. And these are some of the things on these are not figuring out something that you have used in the past. These are actually looking using your ml to study very similar projects to identify bugs
in the faucet on eBay. Charge me to do. We have in baseball. Similar products also from Microsoft. It's called good effect. It also runs on very similar principles ones back in the Holyoke. A meeting between these two. I would like to your that is a problem. That's about this happening to the might of the a lab project that I can, you can go and check it out. Good morning. Just going to log in and you started that's being powered. By ml is that it's called a block you. And what it does. It is available as a plug-in and we can do. You're typing record. It's able to tell us the right hand side.
What is the performance, how long this particular line of code of this function in this case is going to do this again, is in the ghetto. If your system is more powerful, it is likely to take lesser. People are in the system that is more results that it's going to take more time. If you imagine if this Communicator for phones, for every line of code on every function in your photos are available, you can figure out which are the functions that are taking more sources, are more memory yard more time to 10 so that you can focus on those lines rather than on
optimizing unnecessary like this could be a game-changer. Call you tonight. Performance Court. I remember many many years back when we are having a website. But yes, I'm pretty big, metal Sellers and the boy been in one of those World Cups. I think as India was winning the, the traffic that's coming to, all the portal was really big. And this was one of the large bottles, are in India, and those days. And, the particular page was continuously taking more time than I did back in the day, showing good and everything seems to be optimized. We just
couldn't figure out after logging a ticket with Microsoft and they became a priority thing. We were able to find out about the clothing stores in the HP, Dartmouth Coach Weaver, not releasing it. So we were actually, Can a prince to perform a task for this system, was waiting for the trip to be free, but as we were not spring Trends in the back in and it seems to be a very, very simple line of court that the right read the Franklin performance impact of these things. Much earlier than those things really, really smart.
I'm going to some Beatles weather in Skype for python audio, deep code or make something teleport or the Apollo graphql that we saw. This reminds me of a story about 25 years back when I was doing my engineering computer screen and we had those monitors in those days and computers were not so common. So, two of us in our Labs, we have to share a computer, a computer, and my name being a B. I was bad with the lab partner in you. So we use, are used to calling you Dee and we both right now. I think it was
mostly as you come from. But I just have the function names, like I won't actually believe in the functions. And once I brought the complete outline done, then I start punching an actual coach next to me as a start typing a quart. I will probably not for that bracket and even say compile time function not found the other 20 you leaving immediately shout or are they start typing a line? And I'll forget the semicolon because I'm just reading a pseudocode at that time. You leaving immediately claimed for everybody
in the back to your 22 semicolon, missing at the end song. It is very, very irritating. I used to, shove, YouTube, Chucky's bride. I'm writing. I'm not complaining, don't be a compiler and because we, I think one of the disks of now we shall take both of us. And I shall take umbrella to keep quiet and everybody including the Bronx Early College. So that's the kind of thing that you sometimes. You just want to not be bothered unless we still people use, we are not Visual Studio code because they don't want distractions when they
are thinking and coding. But I think it's going to be constantly constantly going to try to help you. It doesn't become something, like Microsoft Office should be bad at 3 p.m. To be a disturbance, but they are not in this Photograph. So don't look. Don't look searching for That's the next thing, moving on this all weekend. And I'm going to do that today. Helping encoding weather. Just testing or it isn't design or it is in the performance. These tools are progressing from coding to design to
Specific vitamin needs to study about your bag and they call the system as that are canvas. If you aren't breathing in a system that decision pretty much most of the time to study and to identify patterns the actual decision states by a system and Ben are building a system that is tied to use the blueprint. What is 7 boxes, that your body and then you act like you do that. It's b, r codes is there fire alarm system. If your job is to do a business in Virginia business decision, based on the data, you're collecting from a fire alarm system to make a decision. Consider this scenario.
You have to Define La Maestra design or by calling 911. But if even the smallest fire put example, like when your toasting bread and it just burned out if I don't know a lot but it shouldn't be calling me to look at it past data and then make a decision hpf. So just if you're able to use the scan boxes, these things are called 911 and it turned out to be valid number of times and it turned out to be a bad thing this scenario, but everybody has to make a decision. If you're able to build a system based on this template, cardi B is system can actually take very
intelligent data. No, it doesn't give examples. We could be used as a safety systems Mitchell. You'll see more and more of these assistants being used in a business decision and hopefully, in the next 20 years, you should be able to see them until 4. It's looking like I said, Bob does a very good indication of what's going to happen in the future. And we all like to think that it is believed you would came over the last few years. It's not but it was know that it
was a little girl that danced on the mathematical models powering a dimmer systems today. I've been invented 2024 years back, but they've been able to be consumed today by Azizi because of cloud service systems are being available to us in a computational power, which was just a few years before. And then just a credit card. We can buy these from a cloud provider and start using them. But if you go back a couple of centuries, I actually came up one years back. I didn't know about it, but a friend of mine called messages. Brenda is not in a book or take this. If you like you read that book
about with the power of this transformation. Agenda book a chapter has been written by a system. Lego pieces are Kathleen. Point guard. Ramen bar in 1308 Heights in his book called artist Genevieve. Artadi, my support system. What is he talking about? He doesn't talk about a computer or anybody talks about a paper-based mechanical system that can combine current knowledge is knowledge and come up with a new concept concept biology Concepts. Looks like
it's about eight hundred year old. But we are not going to go that what we talked about as the igrow jobs in 2002 and the US Business Bureau of Labor Statistics released in 2002. They talked about in the next 10 years from 2000 to 2010 the number Computer and information systems, managers job will grow from 303000. To 53000 is about 14 per cent growth. Likely about 50% of new jobs are going to be created in this category in the next 10 years. And we all know what happened by 2010 and what happened in the next 10
years. The number of jobs increased exponentially in the last 20 has talked about managers, but the same can be his next update for India. Singapore, every manager. We can easily. Guess that old up in 5 to 10 jobs created, and that's how fast in the last 20 years, be jobs in the computer industry in the programming industry has grown. If that's the indication, the next 20 years is going to be phenomenal. I was when I was researching for this topic. I also found out in a medium article, which I have
no friends at the bottom. This article talks about this article written in 2015 and created in 2020. Many of these things have come out through today. Most of the project at ninety-eight percent of project are using open to us. And we all collaborated open me in slack, medium teams and all that remote work, but almost none of us are going to our offices. And that's like a stretch. But then let me explain what I'm trying to say. You had to deploy a vepco, you have to log into a, we have to have to be to at 7,
and then deploy and all that today. Do I have any large extent? We're having skirt. We should be able to automated. We are using powerful systems like a tab actions back and be able to do this estimate yet able to deploy it and then be able to collect feedback Telemetry and then if that is a bug, rollback D Auto directions to be robot robotic actions are automation. Then robots have taken over a pretty good-sized of job that we were doing pretty as before. You know, if you look at that, imagination is the key.
Today. It's not that we are inventing, you thinks it's not that we are starting from a computer on building a computer building a Datacenter. What is the part that has endured your software engineer? We're bringing to a table. Today. We are able to bring her imagination. We are able to bring our curiosity, are we are able to bring our knowledge that these projects? This is an understanding of the customer problems. And this is the way we can map this to install. The particular problem. So it's the combination again, going back to the academy and we talked about combining existing
knowledge to create a new car since that's pretty much what we're doing today. In software project. We're combining open source project, you specifically for the current customer problem. You are solving 2016 VW. Passat already living in the future. That's an indication that we gon fight from five years back next weekend. One of the things. I was thinking for me to predict the future is to look at other fields that are not related. But can we can be thinking them? I've grown
phenomenal. In one such professional medical profession before acting human, but we didn't adjust them months after the infection came in China. Have you been able to study the structure and all that? It's human. Eye can see what a microscope, can see what you're able to use to look at that. And come up with us beyond our knowledge of our information. We haven't come so far to invent a cure quickly. But then in the next hundred years possibly will be doing.
And I know we have accents and maybe maxdon's adjustments of it. In which medical profession has grown in the last undertale is. Look at the diagnostic. Look at this organ transplants. And I told the profession has grown in the last job, under the medical profession is going to look extremely different, extremely, extremely powerful and if that is an example, but the inspiration for computer Engineers sky is the limit for us, but also the same time. Also look at what has happened to make sure the medical profession industry. It's been it's a lie, lyric later industry, everything from the
dock to deployment to watch vaccines to therapy is regulated and unregulated bodies. WIC in my bag. Lady are studying researching on many of these things that can be given to a patient. That's out of regulated. Industry is looking at us and that software industry will also good. Just parked. Bush, Khalifa business, which is a hundreds of Lord. I ended up in a desert where the sand is loose, and it's not a very stable ground and extremely windy desert. Bendy. And the English to
say slipper in that case. So far civil engineering has come in the last hundred years. And if this trend continues, maybe we could just float. Like a science-fiction movies, like, injections that have got behind me and that should be enough for this software engineering field pick up. Doctors are civil engineers and all your inspiration. Let's look at some of the larger turns before we make predictions for a witch laugh at our software development in the next 20 years
that I see happening. Before we do that, the Supreme powerful code by Bill Gates that I always like to look at when I want to draw inspiration about, you can go to predicting what's going to happen in the next few years. Are the next media, be always overestimate what's likely to happen. The next two years, but we underestimated what's possible in a dick in. It could be we all think of the next version of IOS and Android how many features it's going to have a transfer and so on and so forth. But but we get disappointed when it doesn't
happen. Has happened in the last 10 years. My phone's will be the first and only computers developing World used. I never saw a smartphone smart phones today at smartphone that we have kind of unrecognized by what we had like 14 15 years before. And that's the base in which things are going to happen in the next 20 years old technology advances. Over the ticket but it goes, evolutionary goes in Tremonton in the next few years. Remember that as we go through the next few slides,
if you are putting in Dusty, what's going to be the most impactful invention that's going to happen or technology that going to happen? In the next 20 of the top of the Mind, the top of the knee called, they will say his quantum computer and quantum computer. So sorry to hear of the large is a chainsaw and the quantum computers work, but they are trying to make it more available modi's ECC available. It's going to be available at cloud services, quantum computers, even though it requires a large play area. There
are extremely heavy their climate, controlled the unstable. So he does like your Google Microsoft and IBM, David, be providing a service. Will be available after service by 2014. 95% of the organizations will be using them by one of these study by Gartner stays by you. And by 2023, 20% of organizations will start budgeting for Quantum Computing products in the next by 2040 glater. Even I can be sure they'll be production projects. And what is the impact on Quantum Computing with quantum computers
exist because he'll contact lens to buy quantum computers Communications. In a lie about Quantum is going to Big phenomenally. If you think 5G is revolutionary 5G technology following Friday after quantum, Stripping is going to be is something we just kind of imagined, they're going to be so powerful. And another thing is one of the side effects of quantum computers are current in. Christian are going to be no more. Do you have to become an encryption that are valid a
quantum computer by itself? A very exciting field. If you're interested you studied many of the papers on you and Buhdeuce quantum computer is for real. And even today you can go to any of these call Providence. For example, Microsoft has a simulation environment value. Can start doing projects with 124 buildings, readily available. If you'd be able to deploy on that and see the results in all the time. Climate control and it's very expensive that you already talked to you much more detail about the soup started.
This is very important thing. I'd like to place a deal. It's not technology party, but then it's made out of our impact on each one of us and how we are building software. Because in three years before Chinese go insane by 2030. They want to be the leader in artificial intelligence and they are on track. If you look at this research paper, finding they said about 50% of all the amount of citations by Chinese universities and the Chinese researchers are growing phenomenally by 2020. They are actually intersecting with the US and then they're going to take off and go see the
citations look at the Lacs Max of citations Happening. By the top 10 Chinese universities and this number is just going to keep on increasing and because of that rule, they have huge amount of data and because of the population which nobody else in the US doesn't have access to that kind of data, having lots and lots of data. Guess what they are able to bring more powerful and they're investing the meaning of the doors that we are using software engineering 4 a.m.
And will be from China. If you ask me about India, Indian government has been doing something on that is a paper comparing about 40 countries across the world. He started using the speaker button in the next few years. I think we have lots of ground to catch openly admitted but also start spreading in the air for that. We have to also do a lot of changes, a lot of improvement in the baby Abby study. And we also have to have a bite of a kid. Stay in the country to do this. One thing for sure by 2014, the impact of China in, am going to be phenomenal,
BB using mini toys from China, in our development and deployment. The next election is going to happen. That's why I said, if you remember my doctor's light, when we sight I sent you should look at what happened at the doctor's office. Has to draw inspiration for the next hundred years. Medical profession is lightly regulated Industries regulatory bodies. So should activate technology go probably? Yes, not every project everybody to be over. See but then I asked him like, a are in life critical things. I
like the spacecraft, I was talking about, but life-and-death decisions, been made by computers. You definitely need to look at your sister to be quiet. When you are building systems for life. Support system that has to be on your code. That has to be ordered on your code to study. How is your dating this these decisions? What is he more than likely going to happen today? Google, and your Facebook, Amazon Twitter bikes, u.s. Congressional hearings. Things happen in Europe
and other parts of the world, where these big technology companies are answerable. No knowledge about it. Some more technology company because as they get regulator, the technology of the day. And which we are consuming will also change today. If you think about it the vaccine for covid as being invented has been created. Six. Seven months back, but we still are not able to get there. It's not because it's not invented. Is that we tested just because
you invented it you need to go to what a great three testing process and those kind of things are likely to happen. In a system that we are developing in the future for life. Support life critical systems already seen indications for it with the disease and MIT technology review paper that says these big technology companies. You can also many other ways. They such as is to food. Tech companies to share the data with smaller one and don't like the platforms favor, their own solution or third parties, which we have seen European Union, is investigating Google Maps
edited video, YouTube solutions'. Favorite dance solution or third-party cool. And you can also stop technology companies from locking. In user data data should be portable. You should be able to take your data to a diesel. If you want lucky. We weren't ecology companies from combining data just because there are and Big Data Solutions. Don't come in for Bora. Bora Bora user. So these are you wanted. He seemed regular tree and Lawn maker not making bodies. Look at how to regulate big technology, which you have a direct impact on the technology that comes out of these companies.
As more and more requirements of the receipt, in the world will have more requirements of a softer, but we don't have those many software Engineers coming. We can be creating them in that speed. I don't think becoming more and more complex, which means it's more and more expensive which means the local environments are becoming more attractive to companies local. I mean Microsoft programs are on Orange Camp close beef to even estimate trained software, a bad person to develop software. So these tools are going to become more and more powerful, and companies are going
to leave using Board of them. A recent study by Forrester said that, I was about six point, seven billion dollars spent going to be spent on no codes Solutions this year, which is about 8% growth from the last year. 15% the next year 2021 and which apparently, I suppose this number is going to increase. The 15% is going to be one year. Imagine the amount of imagine the percentage of clothes that's going to happen. Next 20 years with the system and as a system mature, these local systems went in to be becoming more and more, no court system and that's going to become more and more
powerful today, within power, to be, some satellite Solutions are solutions that people build business people and not developers. But remember people that start solving more and more complex Solutions with these tools. And what does all this mean? Like in the last 30 minutes? We saw what can happen? What are the things that's going to happen for 2014? These things we are going to impact development. What is the report if you go to decide when robots take my job? It's a very interesting side. If you go there I was playing around with few job titles that one of the job and
you do such an expensive is a job that they have to be ready because they have any place by automation. It's easy to understand why. Because it becomes better and better by his experience to become Spider-Man. In automation system can do, Millions can study for billions and billions of surgery and learn what works, what does it not better? That is not going to be pleased, but then he's going to be augmented by the store. So this would become so sophisticated. So knowledgeable in the next 20 years, but for us as a computer programmer, it
says you have to start wearing, it's going to have a minus. The 8% growth is a 14% probability of job will be replaced by automation. How to pick up the same site with robots. Take my job. Also seized computer application job as nothing to what is going to blow the distinction between these two. The former computer programmer is most systems development business problem solving and they don't distinguish computer local environment. I suppose most of the clothes that they expect are playing in the little job. We are going to be
local in Fahrenheit. Delete all lost our game with all these are not to mention coming in a recent study says that, that is going to be about sixteen percent of u.s. Jobs lost in the next 10 years because of automation, the VA. And if you give duck needs about 20 million jobs, will get lost and only about thirteen million. New jobs will be created because of the meaning of the job roles that can come in the future. We just have no idea today just like the job. Looks like they have today in 2020 where do Texas five years before and put it in yours before by anybody living in 2000 and
2010 and 2040 are going to be extremely difficult to predict is going to be new opportunities, but existing jobs are definitely going to go. Buy a good number of them. Don't ever report by McKinsey classifieds between gender. The job roles that are going to go up because of Automation in the next 10 years and it's really sketchy. Look at the number for China 66% of jobs, done by men in China, are at risk of being taken over by Automation in the next India. Match
2020 plays Mike automation. Women are more disadvantage when it comes to job, and this number could be scary for women, but fortunately Beckinsale report suggests that only 12% of jobs that do men are doing today, or at the risk of being replaced by Automation in the next. India's. They also for the caveat that it could also mean that lot of the jobs women are doing today or a day. What about you? Say? North Locust jobs, that companies may be assistant in English, turn up, 4in, Ty cast on the automation together. They might just be just reading it for humans to be doing,
remind me not be impacted as much as Ben 44% of men shop in India, are going to be impacted by automation. Might as well eat. Well, doesn't that would be? Because of this category of job loss in 1 week and a projection Mackenzie makes What are the scary but we have seen a lot of things. Now, what are the impact when it comes to job for us? One thing I say, keep saying, even earlier in 2014. You can be even recognizable Forest today in 2020 that are going to be completely that are going to be created,
but definitely need job. He was in 2040. Are going to be very, very different than what they have in 2023 was interested in the Desert, Diamond medical billing, but that's going to go over there because as more and more of these systems becoming complex expensive and dependent customers are going to say, why should I pay you for the time? Because you are going to be using more and more. And more of what is a PhD student? At least 50% of your keystrokes. Why am I going to pay you? For the time? I'm, we're going to
be playing for the business value that you're creating or for the outcome that comes out of the contacts. We are doing between us. Two customers are going to move to those kind of money and time and materials are going to have long gone by 2040. White me of the Software System, Tech pwp will be maintained by automationtutorial. We already saw all these tools are able to find the Box. Even today. We are able to answer without containers in kubernetes systems. We have tools that can
figure out that is a problem happening in the table, just found out you instances of new containers and we don't visit basic things that they are able to do even to David Dobson containers, with Windows, things are happening today. It's very easy to imagine to 2042 companies are not going to be paying you. Our customers are not going to be paying you just to ensure my software on Baseline, only for new announcement, a new feature customers are going to be Software, engineering roads, with Warren to maintenance. Today are not going to be with a Char-Broil by 2014,
and you'll, I'm seeing more and more of business. Managers are business, users themselves, creating the solution to. When companies, think about creating a solution of software. They're going to by default, you know Court first. And if a problem is too complex for no code only thing they're going to go into coding. So these are going to be having a lot of impact on the baby record. Baby train Engineers. Baby that cute baby promoting baby. Great job. So all this is going to be interconnected. Jobs are going to be gone. Even today
lesson lesson of data centers are being created. All of our Solutions are going to go to cloud. My 2014, Mustang solutions would be learning and plowed which also means we don't need to maintain these infrastructure. Escrow Company will maintain. You could argue plug companies are in one of those Engineers. What? Automation and I are going to build these tools with can self monitor self fill the system. So the Need For Engineers to maintain infrastructure is going to keep on coming down. Quality testing rolls with a Blog on the scene tools, like your decoded, Microsoft entry
code and decode. The fact that all that, which are at their infancy now, but in the next 20 years, they're going to be show me charge these tasks related to Performance testing debugging deployment are all going to be done by automated tools that are not going to be in engineering roles for any of them. I don't know we're doing the walk so we are doing their say cops. What is our pipeline? See? If you don't remember stages in the next 20 years because of the majority of these tools. One of the thing is going to happen in the next. 20 years is the premium commanded by a m l inches. Are
going to go because me, and they'll be more like commodity and you be available. It would be in the am an engineer, if you think about Android on a very loose in, but then you put them in before new technologies like in Quantum which way, which we can hardly imagine today. David, What is software development? Is it cold in the morning? Motor stopped, as are going to be creating more and more people are going to be creating software more and more jobs are going to
be in world with software development as part of the job. But they're going to be using North Korean drama, CID new opportunities, and dusting. If you search, what does lattice career progression to be interesting concept that people are talking about now. A giant anaconda Service Company. I might accompany software company Arabia, Freschetta, training, Elite Elite model with the team lead project leader. For those linear progression for gold,. I'm going to be doing a
lot to scan your progress, which means in some years ago. I started somewhere. I brought the tickets on your side. It's exact. Are you going to be switching in the freezer? I'll be switching departments. I'll be switching King, Steph. I'll be switching the specialty that I work. But as long as I'm able to do continuous learning, I will be growing in the organization, but those growth are going to be more than that Mattress Firm at that. I don't think that I've been in this company for ten years. I should be Anita. Should be a manager. Kind of linear growth are
going to go oven. And in all this beautiful status, people are curious were continuously learning are going to do. Well, if you're sticking that, I'm a Cobalt SS 2020. Two days, are all gone. You have to change your skill. Said, you have to change your clock to change your Department Industry, everything. But if you don't, you dare self-improving then you can grow. Otherwise, you would have a tough time. How to steal a bank. How many going to be in to see things that could happen in the next, 20 years. For most of the baggage.
Don't think that I used to know Jas Last Five Years, on piano Jazz sax gun, you have to be adopting not only to serve the platforms, the baby. Do you think you should be continuously learning and one good thing with the, with the internet and the remote working? All these remote learning platforms. Like, you do me a text in all that. I just feel normal amount of growth cycle masterclass bad. Some of the best Minds in the world. Teach you one from cooking to music. You can learn from the best in the world, be ready for all those continuous learning
things. Come to those are not going to be buying from computers. Remember that people are going to be buying from people. Human relationship is going to be more important than ever. So your interpersonal communication. The more and more collaborations are going to happen which means you should be able to collaborate with more just because you have a site doesn't make you collaborated in your culture is important. So do things off to be extremely important than ever before. Last he be curious, and being fucked, don't learn only what is happening in your industry. Like the China
example. I was talking about Bri on what's happening. What's happening between China and the US? What's happening between India and China, China in the US and you have to be there, maybe regulations that will prevent you from working on a broad project because of the regulatory requirements. So that mean you and I'll put you today, you're going abroad. Might also get ready, getting please. So it is open to be curious and be in fought. Lock picking up summarizing
all disappeared before, know the business, like six points that I like to leave you thinking China between leading and many of the tools that they use in 2040. Might be coming from China, B open for that. If you want to learn Chinese, be doing that. Also. I also be a force to reckon with in the mail, but the current project 3 solve for China to be needing. You might need to certify, to be an engineer working on Mission critical systems. That would be audits of your name or doesn't
open for that disappear in the cloud software that you need in on stool. To look at the code on the card game. The system that's doubled up and figure out what it's trying to do, more and more of these. Not without them. In every job will be a software engineering job to be whooping. No cold environments, will be the de facto. Like I said, so you have to work with people. Business manager, has more and more and you are too, so don't don't always. So you'll do well
last night, I'll leave you with this flight. In automation is not to replace your message, to compliment them and the inventor of the dangle, but puts it very nicely. The most inventor. He says technology should not in to replace humans. Rather amplify human capabilities to very profound statement. And lastly filburn, Cena's demo of introducing computer mouse on a jewboy, but fifty years by go to YouTube with her mother of all day. You know, how many men that leave you with all that? Let's continue this conversation at the shop windows
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